NFL Week 5

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Rog

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Sep 21, 2004
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YTD 19-13 +5.6 units
Very short writeups.

Titans -1
Pats D a little banged up and McNair continues to dazzle me with his accuracy inspite of an injured finger on his right hand.

Seattle +2 (2 units)
The Packers secondary is slightly hobbled and they face a couple top young wide outs today as well as a running threat in Alexander. Hasselbeck has the look of a talent who finally has the game figured out. Favre looks flustered and forced vs good defenses and Seattle seem to have one. The Pack with a short week and the Hawks are well rested. Seattle by 7.

Oakland/Bears over 42
Gannon finally got it together last week and should continue against the Bears. With Thomas looking a little quicker last Monday and Stewart breaking out of the pocket more often, I think the bears score enough to help push this one over.

Saints/Panthers over 37.5 (2 units)
I think the Panthers might flash a lot of offense today against the banged up Saints D. Delhomme would certainly like to toss the ball around against his old team. The Saints offense has been stumbling, but it's still dangerous and due (even against the tough Carolina D) to score around 20.

Chiefs -3
The Chiefs are 6-2 ATS last 8 vs the Broncs and averaged 29 pts againts them last season. They should continue to score and now have enough defense to get the ball back quicker than in previous meetings. Portis is less than 100% and Plummer still iffy on the road vs a quality opponent. The Chiefs are also 10-1 ATS in their scond division home game and 8-2 ATS as a favorite in a revenge game, for whatever those stats are worth.

Cowboys -7
The Boys have underachieved against the Cardinals, but with the last couple coaching regimes they often underachieved. The tuna will have them ready and if Carter continues to improve with his solid receiving corps they should cover.

Jaguars -3
This one might bite me, but even with the possibility of rookie Leftwich going, who hasn't looked that bad, I think the Jags score enough and certainly have a defensive edge over the Bolts. Minus three seems like a bargain for the home team in this one.

Redskins +5.5
The Eagles secondary is still not intact and the Skins have a couple receivers capable of exploiting that fact. Spurrier and Ramsey have made good adjustments in getting the ball to their wideouts. I still don't think the Eagles can pour enough offense on the field to cover 5.5 against out a team capable of scoring around 20 or more.

Colts +4
This should be a close tight game with 4 points coming in handy.
 

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